CSU Team Eyes 16 Named Storms in Atlantic Hurricane Season
7/09 11:05 AM
CSU Team Eyes 16 Named Storms in Atlantic Hurricane Season Dawn Gallagher DTN Energy Reporter OAKHURST, N.J. (DTN) --- Colorado State University Researchers decreased slightly their 2025 Atlantic basin hurricane forecast, which began June 1 and runs through Nov. 30, now predicting for a slightly above-normal season with a total of 16 named stores versus 17 previously estimated. Of those, eight are expected to become hurricanes, with three forecast to become major hurricanes. The team previously called for nine of the storms to become hurricanes with four to reach major hurricane strength with sustained winds of 111 miles per hour or greater. "The primary reason for the slight decrease in the outlook is both observed and predicted high levels of Caribbean shear. High levels of Caribbean share in June/July are typically associated with less active hurricane seasons," wrote senior research scientist Philip J. Klotzbach, Professor Michael M. Bell and research scientist Levi Silvers. "However, we also anticipate the tropical Pacific to be characterized by ENSO neutral conditions. Sea surface temperatures across the eastern and central Atlantic are slightly warmer than normal, but not as warm as they were last year at this time. A warmer-than-normal tropical Atlantic combined with likely ENSO neutral conditions typically provides a more conducive dynamic and thermodynamic environment for hurricane formation and intensification". The team said the probabilities for at least one major category 3,4 or 5, hurricane landfall on the entire U.S. coastline is 48%; the U.S. East Coast including the Florida peninsula is 25%; and the Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownville is 31%. Another update is slated for release on Aug. 6. (c) Copyright 2025 DTN, LLC. All rights reserved.
 
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