Analysis: EIA Reports Across-The-Board Inventory Builds
Karim Bastati
DTN Analyst
U.S. commercial crude oil inventories rose by 3.9 million barrels to 424.6
million bbls last week, up 1.3% year-on-year and 3% below the five-year
seasonal average. Stocks on the U.S. Gulf Coast expanded by 5.5 million bbls in
the week ending September 5 as exports fell sharply, Energy Information
Administration data revealed Wednesday.
A 1.14 million bpd week-on-week drop in exports and a 471,000 bpd decline in
imports resulted in a 668,000 bpd week-on-week increase in net imports. Weekly
import and export estimates are subject to large swings as they are highly
dependent on the timing of customs filings and reporting by exporters. The EIA
recommends using the four-week averages to glean trends from the data instead.
In the four weeks ending September 5, crude oil imports and exports were
closely in line with their pace in the same time period last year.
Total commercial oil and product stocks expanded by 15.4 million bbls last
week as inventories in every category grew week-on-week. Distillate fuel oil
inventories added 4.7 million bbls to 120.6 million bbls, narrowing the gap to
year-ago levels to 3.5% and to the five-year seasonal average to 9%. Diesel
stocks have this year undergone a prolonged stretch of historical tightness,
and while they continued to trail 2024 levels, the third consecutive build
alleviated some of the pressure brought upon by low inventories.
A colder start to the year and higher trucking demand has led to distillate
fuel oil demand consistently outpacing 2024 levels so far this year. As of
late, however, distillate fuel oil supplied, a proxy for demand, has started to
inch closer to year-ago levels, with the four-week average measure up 75,000
bpd, or 2%, year-on-year.
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