Trump's First Year in Office: Policies and Impacts
1/20 10:56 AM
Trump's First Year in Office: Policies and Impacts
Barani Krishnan
DTN Refined Fuels Market Reporter
SECAUCUS, NJ (DTN) -- U.S. President Donald Trump completed his first year
focusing on aggressive deregulation and domestic energy expansion to stimulate
industrial growth across the economy.
The Trump administration prioritized the elimination of federal oversight to
lower operational costs for domestic energy producers and traditional
manufacturing sectors within the United States.
Market-Friendly Outcomes and Policy Drivers
- Domestic crude oil production reached record highs as the administration
streamlined federal permitting processes and expanded leasing opportunities on
protected public lands and offshore sites.
- The Department of Energy accelerated approvals for liquefied natural gas
export terminals to strengthen global market share and provide a counterbalance
to overseas energy competitors.
- Corporate investment in the traditional automotive sector increased
following the formal rollback of stringent fuel economy standards and various
tailpipe emission mandates established by previous administrations.
- The industrial sector benefited from significant reductions in compliance
costs after the executive branch eliminated two existing federal regulations
for every new rule introduced.
Countervailing Market Effects and Policy Risks
- The implementation of tariffs is slowing economic growth both domestically
and internationally, while at the same time contributing to inflation. It has
also led to retaliatory tariffs on imports of U.S. goods abroad.
- A proposed 10-25% tariff on European allies opposed to the U.S. purchase
of Greenland -- and taking the Arctic island by force if resistance remains --
is threatening to fracture the decades-strong NATO alliance.
- The Justice Department's criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair
Jerome Powell has fueled concerns regarding central bank independence. Public
threats to bypass the Fed's interest-rate-setting authority have also boosted
long-term yields on U.S. Treasury bonds, making borrowings even costlier.
- The freezing of billions of dollars in federal research grants to elite
universities like Harvard has created long-term risks for American scientific
innovation and the high-tech talent pipeline.
- The capture of Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro and oversight of the
OPEC member country's administration by the White House have disrupted
heavy-crude supply chains, although the U.S. has started marketing some of the
oil from there.
- Repeated U.S. threats to hit Iran "very hard" if it continues its domestic
crackdown against mass civilian protests have added to geopolitical risk,
particularly in oil, forcing global shippers to reroute from the Persian Gulf.
U.S. bombers already struck Iran in June, targeting suspected nuclear sites.
- The administration's America First immigration crackdown and aggressive
deportation tactics could destabilize the labor market, economists say,
potentially triggering a significant long-term decline in national consumer
spending and overall economic productivity.
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